ABSTRACT
The contours of endemic coronaviral disease in humans and other animals are shaped by the tendency of coronaviruses to generate new variants superimposed upon nonsterilizing immunity. Consequently, patterns of coronaviral reinfection in animals can inform the emerging endemic state of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. We generated controlled reinfection data after high and low risk natural exposure or heterologous vaccination to sialodacryoadenitis virus (SDAV) in rats. Using deterministic compartmental models, we utilized in vivo estimates from these experiments to model the combined effects of variable transmission rates, variable duration of immunity, successive waves of variants, and vaccination on patterns of viral transmission. Using rat experiment-derived estimates, an endemic state achieved by natural infection alone occurred after a median of 724 days with approximately 41.3% of the population susceptible to reinfection. After accounting for translationally altered parameters between rat-derived data and human SARS-CoV-2 transmission, and after introducing vaccination, we arrived at a median time to endemic stability of 1437 (IQR = 749.25) days with a median 15.4% of the population remaining susceptible. We extended the models to introduce successive variants with increasing transmissibility and included the effect of varying duration of immunity. As seen with endemic coronaviral infections in other animals, transmission states are altered by introduction of new variants, even with vaccination. However, vaccination combined with natural immunity maintains a lower prevalence of infection than natural infection alone and provides greater resilience against the effects of transmissible variants.
ABSTRACT
CONTEXTE: Les différences d'immunogénicité entre les vaccins anti-SRAS-CoV-2 à ARNm n'ont pas été bien caractérisées chez les patients hémodialysés. Nous avons comparé la réponse sérologique chez les patients sous hémodialyse après la vaccination contre le SRAS-CoV-2 au moyen des vaccins BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) et mRNA-1273 (Moderna). MÉTHODES: Nous avons procédé à une étude de cohorte observationnelle et prospective dans 2 centres universitaires de Toronto, au Canada, du 2 février au 20 juillet 2021, et avons inclus 129 et 95 patients qui ont reçu respectivement les vaccins anti-SRAS-CoV-2 BNT162b2 et mRNA-1273. Nous avons mesuré les taux d'anticorps IgG dirigés contre la protéine S (anti-S), contre le domaine de liaison au récepteur (ou RBD, pour receptor-binding domain [anti-RBD]) et contre la protéine de la nucléocapside (anti-N) du SRAS-CoV-2 67) puis 12 semaines après la deuxième dose de vaccin et nous avons comparé ces taux aux taux médians d'anticorps présents dans le sérum de 211 témoins convalescents qui avaient déjà contracté le SRAS-CoV-2. RÉSULTATS: Six à 7 semaines après la deuxième dose de vaccin, nous avons constaté que 51 patients sur 70 (73 %) ayant reçu le BNT162b2 et 83 patients sur 87 (95 %) ayant reçu le mRNA-1273, ont obtenu des taux équivalents à ceux du sérum de convalescents pour ce qui est de l'anticorps anti-S (p < 0,001). Chez ceux qui ont reçu le BNT162b2, 35 sur 70 (50 %) ont atteint le taux du sérum de convalescents pour l'anti-RBD, contre 69 sur 87 (79 %) de ceux qui ont reçu le mRNA-1273 (p < 0,001). Douze semaines après la deuxième dose, les taux d'anti-S et d'anti-RBD étaient significativement moindres chez les patients ayant reçu le BNT162b2 que chez ceux qui avaient reçu le mRNA-1273. Pour l'anti-S, 70 patients sur 122 (57,4 %) ayant reçu le BNT162b2 ont maintenu un taux équivalent à celui du sérum de convalescents, contre 68 sur 71 (96 %) de ceux qui avaient reçu le mRNA-1273 (p < 0,001). Pour l'anti-RBD, 47 patients sur 122 (38,5 %) ayant reçu le BNT162b2 ont maintenu des taux anti-RBD équivalant à celui du sérum de convalescents, contre 45 sur 71 (63 %) de ceux qui avaient reçu le mRNA-1273 (p = 0,002). INTERPRÉTATION: Chez les patients hémodialysés, le mRNA-1273 a généré une réponse humorale plus forte que le BNT162b2. Étant donné le déclin rapide de l'immunogénicité à 12 semaines chez les patients ayant reçu le BNT162b2, une troisième dose est recommandée chez les patients hémodialysés dans le cadre d'une première série, ce qui concorde avec les recommandations concernant d'autres populations vulnérables.
Subject(s)
COVID-19 Vaccines , COVID-19 , 2019-nCoV Vaccine mRNA-1273 , BNT162 Vaccine , Humans , Renal DialysisABSTRACT
Introduction: COVID-19 is a major health threat around the world causing hundreds of millions of infections and millions of deaths. There is a pressing global need for effective therapies. We hypothesized that leukotriene inhibitors (LTIs), that have been shown to lower IL6 and IL8 levels, may have a protective effect in patients with COVID-19. Methods: In this retrospective controlled cohort study, we compared death rates in COVID-19 patients who were taking a LTI with those who were not taking an LTI. We used the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) Corporate Data Warehouse (CDW) to create a cohort of COVID-19-positive patients and tracked their use of LTIs between November 1, 2019 and November 11, 2021. Results: Of the 1,677,595 cohort of patients tested for COVID-19, 189,195 patients tested positive for COVID-19. Forty thousand seven hundred one were admitted. 38,184 had an oxygen requirement and 1214 were taking an LTI. The use of dexamethasone plus a LTI in hospital showed a survival advantage of 13.5% (CI: 0.23%-26.7%; p < 0.01) in patients presenting with a minimal O2Sat of 50% or less. For patients with an O2Sat of <60 and <50% if they were on LTIs as outpatients, continuing the LTI led to a 14.4% and 22.25 survival advantage if they were continued on the medication as inpatients. Conclusions: When combined dexamethasone and LTIs provided a mortality benefit in COVID-19 patients presenting with an O2 saturations <50%. The LTI cohort had lower markers of inflammation and cytokine storm.
ABSTRACT
Importance: Patients undergoing hemodialysis have a high mortality rate associated with COVID-19, and this patient population often has a poor response to vaccinations. Randomized clinical trials for COVID-19 vaccines included few patients with kidney disease; therefore, vaccine immunogenicity is uncertain in this population. Objective: To evaluate the SARS-CoV-2 antibody response in patients undergoing chronic hemodialysis following 1 vs 2 doses of BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccination compared with health care workers serving as controls and convalescent serum. Design, Setting, and Participants: A prospective, single-center cohort study was conducted between February 2 and April 17, 2021, in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. Participants included 142 patients receiving in-center hemodialysis and 35 health care worker controls. Exposures: BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) COVID-19 vaccine. Main Outcomes and Measures: SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies to the spike protein (anti-spike), receptor binding domain (anti-RBD), and nucleocapsid protein (anti-NP). Results: Among the 142 participants undergoing maintenance hemodialysis, 94 (66%) were men; median age was 72 (interquartile range, 62-79) years. SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies were measured in 66 patients receiving 1 vaccine dose following a public health policy change, 76 patients receiving 2 vaccine doses, and 35 health care workers receiving 2 vaccine doses. Detectable anti-NP suggestive of natural SARS-CoV-2 infection was detected in 15 of 142 (11%) patients at baseline, and only 3 patients had prior COVID-19 confirmed by reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction testing. Two additional patients contracted COVID-19 after receiving 2 doses of vaccine. In 66 patients receiving a single BNT162b2 dose, seroconversion occurred in 53 (80%) for anti-spike and 36 (55%) for anti-RBD by 28 days postdose, but a robust response, defined by reaching the median levels of antibodies in convalescent serum from COVID-19 survivors, was noted in only 15 patients (23%) for anti-spike and 4 (6%) for anti-RBD in convalescent serum from COVID-19 survivors. In patients receiving 2 doses of BNT162b2 vaccine, seroconversion occurred in 69 of 72 (96%) for anti-spike and 63 of 72 (88%) for anti-RBD by 2 weeks following the second dose and median convalescent serum levels were reached in 52 of 72 patients (72%) for anti-spike and 43 of 72 (60%) for anti-RBD. In contrast, all 35 health care workers exceeded the median level of anti-spike and anti-RBD found in convalescent serum 2 to 4 weeks after the second dose. Conclusions and Relevance: This study suggests poor immunogenicity 28 days following a single dose of BNT162b2 vaccine in the hemodialysis population, supporting adherence to recommended vaccination schedules and avoiding delay of the second dose in these at-risk individuals.